Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.169783 0.204916 0.242748 0.286218 0.334497 0.386196 0.445467
2025-02-16 0.116184 0.161458 0.214419 0.279702 0.356802 0.443842 0.548418
2025-02-23 0.078658 0.127279 0.189209 0.270806 0.372580 0.492685 0.642502
2025-03-02 0.049626 0.096174 0.161390 0.253434 0.374470 0.523256 0.715108
2025-03-09 0.034857 0.080533 0.150376 0.254864 0.398190 0.579969 0.820185
2025-03-16 0.022332 0.064077 0.134677 0.247063 0.407945 0.618282 0.902755
2025-03-23 0.016923 0.058166 0.133618 0.259253 0.444491 0.691648 1.031034
2025-03-30 0.011152 0.048880 0.125033 0.258684 0.462380 0.740272 1.128118
2025-04-06 0.007232 0.041570 0.118201 0.259572 0.481621 0.790563 1.227874
2025-04-13 0.004918 0.037009 0.115436 0.266348 0.509266 0.852568 1.343919
2025-04-20 0.003382 0.033673 0.114330 0.275464 0.540369 0.919725 1.467709
2025-04-27 0.002193 0.030369 0.112527 0.282927 0.568866 0.983535 1.587766
2025-05-04 0.001034 0.025124 0.105293 0.280251 0.581849 1.026383 1.681339
2025-05-11 0.000512 0.022191 0.102829 0.285982 0.608212 1.088924 1.802963
2025-05-18 0.000150 0.018311 0.096738 0.284022 0.621773 1.132934 1.899505
2025-05-25 0.000004 0.013293 0.085375 0.270074 0.614454 1.145598 1.952090
2025-06-01 NaN 0.011411 0.082889 0.273901 0.636914 1.202769 2.067901
2025-06-08 NaN 0.008616 0.075858 0.267057 0.640453 1.231206 2.143058
2025-06-15 NaN 0.008264 0.078020 0.280681 0.680107 1.315170 2.298499
2025-06-22 NaN 0.006688 0.074328 0.280547 0.695231 1.361639 2.400499
2025-06-29 NaN 0.005460 0.071394 0.281755 0.712602 1.411680 2.508066
2025-07-06 NaN 0.004826 0.071046 0.289063 0.741159 1.479444 2.641962
2025-07-13 NaN 0.004415 0.071683 0.298773 0.774276 1.554672 2.787305